School Brown Bag: Marit Hinnosaar

Influencer cartels (with Toomas Hinnosaar)

Abstract:  Influencer marketing is a large and growing but mostly unregulated industry.  We document the existence and study cartels of influencers.  Using a novel dataset of Instagram influencer cartels, we confirm that the cartels increase engagement as intended. But we also show that engagement from non-specific cartels is of lower quality, whereas engagement from a topic-specific cartel may be as good as natural engagement.  We then build a theoretical model to understand the behavior and welfare implications of influencer cartels.  While influencer cartels may sometimes improve welfare by mitigating the free-rider problem, they can also overshoot and create low-quality engagement. The problem of fake engagement is substantially worse if the advertising market rewards engagement quantity.  Therefore topic-specific cartels may sometimes be welfare-improving, whereas typical non-specific cartels hurt everyone.