We investigate the relationship between worker turnover and job turnover in German establishments. We show that this relationship is very similar to that found in US establishments, despite large differences in the labour market institutions of those countries.
We use a simple non-parametric regression approach to measure the relationship between employment growth, hirings and separations in a large panel of German establishments over the period 1993--2009. Although it is often claimed that firms in Europe have less flexibility in their ability to hire and fire, we find that the relationship between employment growth and worker flows in German establishments is very similar to the behaviour of US establishments. The relationship is stable over time, even during the most recent economic crisis, and across different types of establishment. We verify our results with independent measures from administrative data. We suggest that this result is due to: the strong relationship between employment reductions and voluntary separations; the low level of "churning"'; and the heterogeneity of jobs within establishments.
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Lutz Bellmann, Hans-Dieter Gerner and Richard Upward
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