GEP Research Paper 08/09
Exchange Rates, Exports and FDI: A Microeconometric Analysis
David Greenaway, Richard Kneller and Xufei Zhang
Summary
Using data on UK manufacturing firms we find that exchange rate movements have little effect on firm export participation but have a significant impact on export shares. We also investigate the effects of exchange rate movements on the export behaviour of multinationals, and find important differences according to country of origin. Multinationals firms originating from outside the European Union are less affected by changes in the exchange rate compared to those inside, whose reactions are similar to domestic firms.
Abstract
Our focus is the effects of exchange rate movements on firm decisions on export market entry and export intensity. Using data on UK manufacturing firms we find that exchange rate movements have little effect on firm export participation but have a significant impact on export shares. We also investigate the effects of exchange rate movements on the export behaviour of multinationals, and find important differences according to country of origin. Multinationals firms originating from outside the European Union are less affected by changes in the exchange rate compared to those inside, whose reactions are similar to domestic firms.
Issued in February 2008
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